Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2020 06;26(6):1339-1441
Authors: Wilson N, Kvalsvig A, Barnard LT, Baker MG
We estimated the case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease cases in China (3.5%); China, excluding Hubei Province (0.8%); 82 countries, territories, and areas (4.2%); and on a cruise ship (0.6%). Lower estimates might be closest to the true value, but a broad range of 0.25%-3.0% probably should be considered.
PMID: 32168463 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]