Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality.

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Case-Fatality Risk Estimates for COVID-19 Calculated by Using a Lag Time for Fatality.

Emerg Infect Dis. 2020 06;26(6):1339-1441

Authors: Wilson N, Kvalsvig A, Barnard LT, Baker MG

Abstract
We estimated the case-fatality risk for coronavirus disease cases in China (3.5%); China, excluding Hubei Province (0.8%); 82 countries, territories, and areas (4.2%); and on a cruise ship (0.6%). Lower estimates might be closest to the true value, but a broad range of 0.25%-3.0% probably should be considered.

PMID: 32168463 [PubMed - indexed for MEDLINE]

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