Electronic Health Record Mortality Prediction Model for Targeted Palliative Care Among Hospitalized Medical Patients: a Pilot Quasi-experimental Study.
J Gen Intern Med. 2019 Jul 16;:
Authors: Courtright KR, Chivers C, Becker M, Regli SH, Pepper LC, Draugelis ME, O'Connor NR
BACKGROUND: Development of electronic health record (EHR) prediction models to improve palliative care delivery is on the rise, yet the clinical impact of such models has not been evaluated.
OBJECTIVE: To assess the clinical impact of triggering palliative care using an EHR prediction model.
DESIGN: Pilot prospective before-after study on the general medical wards at an urban academic medical center.
PARTICIPANTS: Adults with a predicted probability of 6-month mortality of ≥ 0.3.
INTERVENTION: Triggered (with opt-out) palliative care consult on hospital day 2.
MAIN MEASURES: Frequencies of consults, advance care planning (ACP) documentation, home palliative care and hospice referrals, code status changes, and pre-consult length of stay (LOS).
KEY RESULTS: The control and intervention periods included 8 weeks each and 138 admissions and 134 admissions, respectively. Characteristics between the groups were similar, with a mean (standard deviation) risk of 6-month mortality of 0.5 (0.2). Seventy-seven (57%) triggered consults were accepted by the primary team and 8 consults were requested per usual care during the intervention period. Compared to historical controls, consultation increased by 74% (22 [16%] vs 85 [63%], P < .001), median (interquartile range) pre-consult LOS decreased by 1.4 days (2.6 [1.1, 6.2] vs 1.2 [0.8, 2.7], P = .02), ACP documentation increased by 38% (23 [17%] vs 37 [28%], P = .03), and home palliative care referrals increased by 61% (9 [7%] vs 23 [17%], P = .01). There were no differences between the control and intervention groups in hospice referrals (14  vs 22 , P = .13), code status changes (42  vs 39 ; P = .81), or consult requests for lower risk (< 0.3) patients (48/1004  vs 33/798 ; P = .48).
CONCLUSIONS: Targeting hospital-based palliative care using an EHR mortality prediction model is a clinically promising approach to improve the quality of care among seriously ill medical patients. More evidence is needed to determine the generalizability of this approach and its impact on patient- and caregiver-reported outcomes.
PMID: 31313110 [PubMed - as supplied by publisher]